DRY JANUARY COMPLETION ODDS

Implied probability of completing Dry January (Feb 1), by state
Harder to finish
Easier to finish
Implied completion probability
Rank 1 = most likely to finish • Higher % = easier to finish
Methodology: States are ranked by an odds-style model of Dry January completion conditions. Colors and tables reflect implied completion probability (higher % = easier).

Inputs: binge drinking, physical activity, smoking, January temperature, and non-drinker share (weighted).