Top 10 U.S. States Most at Risk from Porch Pirates

Ranked by a Porch Pirate Index combining stolen-package reports, porch-pirate search activity, and home larceny data.

Scores converted into implied probability and American-style odds for an odds-based look at package theft risk.

1
Kentucky Highest recent theft reporting
12% of residents reported a stolen package in the last 3 months.
29.8% risk Odds: +236
2
California Large volume of incidents
15,311 larceny-theft incidents at residences (2023–24).
27.6% risk Odds: +262
3
Alaska High risk in a small state
10% of residents reported a stolen package despite fewer total incidents.
26.7% risk Odds: +275
4
North Dakota High share of theft victims
11% of residents reported a stolen package in the last 3 months.
26.6% risk Odds: +276
5
Texas Highest home theft incidents
26,293 larceny-theft incidents at residences (2023–24).
25.8% risk Odds: +288
6
Nebraska High reporting and theft rate
10% of residents reported a stolen package; 1,644 home thefts.
25.4% risk Odds: +294
7
Iowa Strong theft reporting
10% of residents reported a stolen package in the last 3 months.
24.0% risk Odds: +317
8
Vermont High victim share
9% of residents reported a stolen package in the last 3 months.
23.7% risk Odds: +322
9
Washington High search interest and thefts
4% of residents reported a stolen package; 4,214 home thefts.
22.6% risk Odds: +342
10
Oregon Notable theft and search activity
3% of residents reported a stolen package; 2,994 home thefts.
20.2% risk Odds: +395