How We Ranked the Baby Names

Congratulations are still landing for Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce, who married at Madison Square Garden on July 3. Naturally, fans have already jumped to the next question, could a baby be next and what would they name it?

Reading odds is our job, so we turned that second question into a name index. We pulled every name from Swift's songs and added the family names on both sides.

Then we scored each name by how closely it ties to the couple. A title track or a close family name scores high. A passing lyric scores low. The strongest ties get the shortest odds.

That gives three boards, a girl, a boy, and a neutral name, each ranked by chance. We also pulled the one real market, the live betting on a Swift pregnancy, so both halves are here.

One note, in the spirit of fun. Swift has not announced a pregnancy, and this is not a prediction about her private life. Think of it as a celebration of her songwriting, turned into a name game for fans. The pregnancy market below is a real, public one that we are simply reporting on.

Key Findings

• Marjorie is the top girl name at 16%, from an evermore song and Swift's late grandmother.
• August is the top boy name at 16%, from a folklore song and the couple's engagement month.
• Finlay is the top neutral name at 18%, the highest single chance on any board, from Swift's mother's maiden name.
• Karma has the lowest girl odds at 5%.
• The market gives Swift a 13% chance of a 2026 pregnancy, the lowest of four celebrity markets.
• Rihanna is highest in that market at 32.5%, more than double Swift's number.

The Baby Name Odds, Ranked

Now the fun part. Every name sits on one of three boards, a girl, a boy, and a neutral pick, built from Swift's songs and both families. There is no single winner across them, so here is the favorite for each.

Marjorie Leads the Girl Names at 16%

Marjorie is both a Swift song and the name of her late grandmother, opera singer Marjorie Finlay. No other girl name has that double link.

Rank	Name	Connection	Chance	Odds
1	Marjorie	evermore track and her late grandmother	16%	+525
2	Andrea	Her mother, Andrea Swift	14%	+614
3	Betty	folklore title track	12%	+733
4	Robin	The Tortured Poets Department track	11%	+809
5	Ivy	evermore track	10%	+900
6	Willow	evermore lead single	9%	+1011
7	Cassandra	The Tortured Poets Department track	8%	+1150
8	Carolina	Where the Crawdads Sing track	8%	+1150
9	Dorothea	evermore track	7%	+1329
10	Karma	Midnights track	5%	+1900

August Leads the Boy Names at 16%

August is a folklore song and the couple's engagement month. That double tie makes it the top-scoring name, level with Marjorie. Travis is second at 14%, the nod to dad.

Rank	Name	Connection	Chance	Odds
1	August	folklore track and their engagement month	16%	+525
2	Travis	The father himself, Travis Kelce	14%	+614
3	Peter	The Tortured Poets Department track	12%	+733
4	Kingsley	Her father's middle name	11%	+809
5	Patrick	Patrick Mahomes, Kelce's quarterback	10%	+900
6	Scott	Her father, Scott Swift	9%	+1011
7	Austin	Her brother, Austin Swift	8%	+1150
8	Jason	Travis's brother, Jason Kelce	8%	+1150
9	Ed	Travis's father, Ed Kelce	7%	+1329
10	James	The folklore trilogy narrator	5%	+1900

Finlay Leads the Neutral Names at 18%

Finlay is Swift's mother's maiden name. Its 18% is the highest single chance on any board. It beats every obvious first name.

Rank	Name	Connection	Chance	Odds
1	Finlay	Her mother's maiden name	18%	+456
2	Seven	folklore title track	15%	+567
3	Paris	Midnights title track	13%	+669
4	Jordan	Named in Picture to Burn	12%	+733
5	Charlie	Named in the TTPD title track	11%	+809
6	Pat	Named in Babe	10%	+900
7	Ari	A nod to Arrowhead Stadium	8%	+1150
8	Sailor	Nautical imagery, editorial pick	7%	+1329
9	Kai	Water imagery, editorial pick	6%	+1567

Family and Song Names Score Highest

The pattern is the same on all three boards. The less obvious picks score highest.

The model rewards maiden names, middle names, and names that appear more than once. That is why a surname like Finlay ranks above a first name like Betty.

The takeaway is simple. The strongest picks are the family and songwriting references, not the obvious first names.

Name	The hook	Chance
Finlay	Mother's maiden name	18%
Marjorie	Grandmother, also a track	16%
August	Track plus engagement month	16%
Seven	folklore title track	15%
Kingsley	Father's middle name	11%

The spread is wide. Finlay tops the board at 18%, and Karma sits at the bottom at 5%.

The Pregnancy Market Puts Swift Last

The names are the fun part. The one real number is the market on a Swift pregnancy, and it points the other way.

A live, traded market on a Swift pregnancy before 2027 sits at 13%. It has about $36,000 in volume and resolves at the end of 2026.

Line her up against three other celebrity pregnancy markets and she ranks last.

Celebrity	Market	Chance	Odds
Rihanna	Pregnant in 2026	32.5%	+208
Dua Lipa	Pregnant in 2026	26%	+285
Nara Smith	Pregnant in 2026	23.5%	+326
Taylor Swift	Pregnant before 2027	13%	+669

Swift dominates the culture, but the market gives her less than half of Rihanna's chance.

The Bottom Line on Names and Odds

If the couple sticks to form, expect a name with meaning. Marjorie, August, and Finlay all trace back to a song or a family member. Those score higher than any obvious first name.

The one real market is more cautious. At 13%, bettors see a Swift pregnancy as unlikely this year, well behind Rihanna at 32.5%.

Take the name board for what it is, a look at how Swift tends to choose. The pregnancy question is still wide open.

The names are the fun. The odds are the reality check.

Methodology

What we measured. Two things, kept separate. First, real pregnancy odds from a live prediction market. Second, an illustrative name index built from Swift's catalog and both families.

When. Market data was pulled on July 9, 2026. It moves continuously and was refreshed close to publish.

How the names were scored. We took Swift's 258 released songs and pulled names from titles, lyrics, and both families. Each name earns points by how closely it connects.

The point scale. A title track scores 12, a family name 9, a named character 7, a friend or his-world figure 6, and a loose nod 2. Bonuses apply for a second source, a maiden or middle-name pick, and appearing across songs.

How the odds were set. Within each board we ranked the names and assigned a fixed descending set of probabilities that sums to 100%. The American odds follow directly from the implied probability.

What we excluded. Ex-partners, diss-track targets, and any sensitive names were removed. Estranged connections were left off and logged.

Extraction date. July 9, 2026.

Sources

• Polymarket, for the live pregnancy market
• Genius and Wikipedia, for the song catalog and family details
• U.S. Social Security Administration, for name data and the gender split
• Full dataset: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce baby name odds workbook